Forecasting Art Coverage in Egypt Using Artificial Neural Networks
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze ART coverage in Egypt. The
employed annual data covers the period 2000-2018 and the out-of-sample period
ranges over the period 2019-2023. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
stable in forecasting ART coverage in Egypt. The results of the study indicate
that ART coverage will remain very low in Egypt over the period 2019-2023. The
government is encouraged to intensify demand creation for HIV testing and ART
services amongst other strategies.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
David
P. Urassa., Sarah Matemu & Bruno F Sunguya (2018).Antiretroviral therapy
clinic attendance among children aged 0-14 years in Kahama district, Tanzania:
a cross-sectional study Tanzania Journal
of Health Research Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/thrb.v20i1.8
Volume 20, Number 1, January 2018
National
HIV and AIDS Health Sector Research and Evaluation Agenda (2011 - 2015).
National AIDS Control Program, Tanzania. NACP
Rosen
S & Fox MP (2011). Retention in HIV care between testing and treatment in
sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review. PLoS Med. 8(7): e1001056.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001056 PMID: 21811403
WHO
(2016). Consolidated guidelines on the use of antiretroviral drugs for treating
and preventing HIV infection. Geneva.
WHO
(2018). Access to antiretroviral and direct-acting antiviral medicines, and HIV
diagnostics. 2016 update. WHO: Geneva.
