Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate in Ghana Using a Machine Learning Algorithm
Abstract
In
this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze infant mortality
rate (IMR) in Ghana. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2020 and
the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2021-2030. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate
that the model is stable in forecasting IMR in Ghana. The projections from the
applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model revealed that IMR will be around 31/1000 live
births per year in the next 10 years. Therefore the government is encouraged to
intensify maternal and child health surveillance and control programs in order
to achieve the sustainable development goals by 2030.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Duah
Dwomoh, 1 Susan Amuasi,2 Kofi
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