International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Trend Analysis of Millet Production and Agricultural Output in Nigeria (1981-2018)

Abstract

The study assessed the trend of millet production in Nigeria and it’s implication on agricultural output (1981-2018). Time series data obtained from archives of Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for period of (37) years were used in the study. The data collected were analyzed using both descriptive and inferential statistics such as mean, maximum and minimum with graphs, trend models and Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The result of the study revealed that the trend of millet production has fluctuated considerably over the years but has experienced a fairly constant trend in the last few years while the trend of agricultural output in Nigeria has been experiencing an appreciable level of increase over the years. The growth rate and direction of millet production was 3.6% and decelerating while agricultural output was 4.4% and accelerating respectively during the period of study. There was no co-integration among the variables as a result of the variables having unit roots at different levels therefore; Vector Auto-regression was therefore used to evaluate the short and long run effects of the variables on each other. The result of the millet production model showed that the coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.45. The result also showed that the F-statistics (28.8) was positive and significant at 1% indicating the overall significance of the model. The result further showed that the coefficient of millet production (0.249) in the previous year is positive and significant at 1% level of probability as expected. Also, the coefficient of agricultural output (0.236) is positive but not significant. The study therefore concluded that, conscious effort should be made to strengthen the development of new, well-adapted millet cultivars with high yield potential so as to boost millet production and consequently enhance agricultural output.

Country : Nigeria

1 Abah D2 Oraka E.O3 Ochoche O.C

  1. Department of Agricultural Economics, Federal University of Agriculture, Makurdi P.M.B 2373, Makurdi, Nigeria
  2. Department of Agricultural Economics, Federal University of Agriculture, Makurdi P.M.B 2373, Makurdi, Nigeria
  3. Department of Agricultural Economics, Federal University of Agriculture, Makurdi P.M.B 2373, Makurdi, Nigeria

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 3, March 2021 pp. 5-10

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.503002

Full Paper
Download

References

  1. Adekanye, D.O. (1993). Public Enterprises Reforms in West Africa: Issues and Research Agenda”. Res. Dev. 11(1&2):13-24.
  2. Ali, A., M.I. Hudu and O.A. Ojeleye (2018). Economics of Millet Production in Funakaye Local Government, Gombe State Nigeria. Production Agriculture and Technology Journal of Nassarawa State University, Keffi. 14 (2): 50-57
  3. Audu, E.B. (2012).  A descriptive analysis of rainfall for agricultural planning in Lokoja Local Government Area of Kogi State, Nigeria. International Journal of Science and Technology, 2(12): 850-855.
  4. Awotide, D. O. (2012). Supply Response of Maize, Millet and Sorghum in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model Approach. Nigerian Journal of Agricultural Economics (NJAE). 3(1):19-27.
  5. Balami, D. H., Ogboru, I. and Talba, D. M, (2011). The Cereal Economy in Nigeria and the Sub- Regional Dimension. SSSG Series 1 (29). Benue State University.  Destiny Ventures. Makurdi.
  6. Central Bank of Nigeria. (2009). Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and Annual Report, 2009.
  7. Central Intelligence Agency [CIA] (2009). The World Fact Book. Available online at http:www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/goes/ni.html.
  8. FAOSTAT (2017). Food and Agricultural Organisation Statistical Data Base. http://faostat.fao.org.
  9. Harold, M. (2015). Cereal Crops: Rice, Maize, Millet, Sorghum, Wheat. An action plan for agricultural transformation.
  10. ICRISAT (2001). Towards sustainable sorghum production, utilization and commercialization in West and Central Africa. Patancheru 502324 Andhra Pradesh India, ICRISAT Rome, Italy.
  11. Isah, M. A., Samuel, E., Makama, S.A. and  Kiresur, V. R. (2015). Trend of Area, Production and Productivity of major cereals: India and Nigeria Scenario. Research Journal of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences. 3(2), 10-15.
  12. Kalikume, A. I. (2015). The role of agriculture in economic development. Nigeria Economic Review. 51(4): 556-593
  13. Kolawale, O., and Ojo, S.O. (2007). Economic efficiency of small scale food Crop production in Nigeria. Journal for social Sciences. 14 (2). 123-130.
  14. NPC (2006). National Population Commission Census. National Economic Census Board, 2006,   Abuja, Nigeria.
  15. Soyibo, A. and Olayiwola, K. (2000). ‘Interest rate Policy and the Promotion of Savings Investment and Resource Mobilisation in Nigeria’, Research Report 24, Development Policy Centre, Ibadan.
  16. Tahir, H.M. (2014). Trend Analysis of Productivity of Some Selected Cereal Crops in Nigeria: 1983-2008. Research on Humanities and Social Sciences. Vol. 4(8).

Copyright @ 2026-2017 IRJIET. All Right Reserved.

Developed by Byzero Technologies