Using Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting New Pregnancy Induced Hypertension Cases at Silobela District Hospital (SDH) in Zimbabwe
Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze
Pregnancy Induced Hypertension (PIH) cases at Silobela District Hospital (SDH).
The employed data covers the period January 2010 to December 2019 and the
out-of-sample period ranges over the period January 2020 to December 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model basically indicate that the model is stable in forecasting PIH cases at
SDH. The results of the study indicate that PIH cases are likely to be either 1
or 2 and sometimes zero per month over the period January 2020 – December 2020.
A 3-fold policy recommendation has been put forward in order to handle the
projected PIH trends in the SDH catchment area.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Mr. Takudzwa. C. Maradze2 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI3 Mr. Thabani NYONI
Independent Researcher, Harare, Zimbabwe
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Anand, Shweta. "Perinatal
outcome in growth retarted babies born to normotensive and hypertensive
mothers: A prospective study." (2012).
Arshad, Aleem, Waseem Pasha, Tariq
Azam Khattak, and Rizwan Bashir Kiyani. "Impact of pregnancy induced
hypertension on birth weight of newborn at term." Journal of
Rawalpindi Medical College 15, no. 2 (2011): 113-115.
Hofmeyr, G. Justus,
Theresa A. Lawrie, Alvaro N. Atallah, and Maria Regina Torloni. "Calcium
supplementation during pregnancy for preventing hypertensive disorders and
related problems." Cochrane database of systematic reviews 10
(2018).
Maylawati,
Dian Sa'adillah, Muhammad Ali Ramdhani, Wildan Budiawan Zulfikar,
Ichsan Taufik, and Wahyudin Darmalaksana. "Expert system for predicting
the early pregnancy with disorders using artificial neural network."
In 2017 5th International Conference on Cyber and IT Service Management
(CITSM), pp. 1-6. IEEE, 2017.
Mello, Giorgio, Elena Parretti,
Agostino Ognibene, Federico Mecacci, Riccardo Cioni, Gianfranco Scarselli, and
Gianni Messeri. "Prediction of the development of pregnancy-induced
hypertensive disorders in high-risk pregnant women by artificial neural
networks." Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) 39,
no. 9 (2001): 801-805.
Ministry of Health and Child
Welfare (2010). National Child Survival Strategy for Zimbabwe 2010-2015.
Harare, Zimbabwe. p12-26
Ministry of Health and Child
Welfare Zimbabwe (2007). Maternal and Perinatal Mortality Study. Harare,
Zimbabwe. p17-24
Muti, Monica, Mufuta Tshimanga,
Gombe T. Notion, Donewell Bangure, and Prosper Chonzi. "Prevalence of
pregnancy induced hypertension and pregnancy outcomes among women seeking
maternity services in Harare, Zimbabwe." BMC cardiovascular
disorders 15, no. 1 (2015): 1-8.
NYONI, Smartson P., and Thabani
NYONI. "FORECASTING TB NOTIFICATIONS AT SILOBELA DISTRICT HOSPITAL,
ZIMBABWE."
Shopen, Noa, Eyal Schiff, Nira
Koren-Morag, and Ehud Grossman. "Factors that predict the development of
hypertension in women with pregnancy-induced hypertension." American
journal of hypertension 29, no. 1 (2016): 141-146.
Sibai, Baha M. "Diagnosis and
management of gestational hypertension and preeclampsia." Obstetrics
& Gynecology 102, no. 1 (2003): 181-192.
Tachiweyika, Emmanuel, Notion
Gombe, Gerald Shambira, Addmore Chadambuka, M. Tshimamga, and Simukai Zizhou.
"Determinants of perinatal mortality in Marondera district, Mashonaland
East Province of Zimbabwe, 2009: a case control study." Pan African
Medical Journal 8, no. 1 (2011).
Zhang, Jun, Jonathan Zeisler,
Maureen C. Hatch, and Gertrud Berkowitz. "Epidemiology of
pregnancy-induced hypertension." Epidemiologic reviews 19, no. 2
(1997): 218-232.