In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 deaths in New Zealand. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
quite stable. The results of the study indicate that the country may record no
COVID-19 related deaths over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need
for the government of New Zealand to ensure adherence to safety guidelines and
scale up COVID-19 vaccine roll out in order to achieve herd immunity.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Our world
in data (2021). Austria COVID-19 update. https://our world.in
data.org.Austria
Shaun
Hendy., Nicholas Steyn., Alex James., Michael J. Plank., Kate Hannah., Rachelle
N. Binny& Audrey Lustig (2021) Mathematical modelling to inform New
Zealand’s COVID-19 response, Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand,
51:sup1, S86-S106, DOI: 10.1080/03036758.2021.1876111
