Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in Panama

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 new deaths in Panama. The employed data covers the period 1January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in Panama are likely to range between 3 and 50 deaths per day over the out-of-sample period. Therefore there is need for the government of Panama to ensure adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic and speed up COVID-19 vaccine roll out.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 830-835

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506145

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