Forecasting Covid-19 Deaths in the State of Kuwait
Abstract
In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 deaths in Kuwait. The employed data covers the period 1
January 2020 to 20 April 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the
period 21 April 2021 to 31 August 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 deaths in
Kuwait are likely to decline significantly over the out-of-sample period.
Around mid-May 2021 onwards no COVID-19 related mortality may be recorded in
the country. Therefore there is need for the State of Kuwait to ensure
adherence to safety guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the
COVID-19 pandemic and to scale up COVID-19 vaccination.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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in data (2021). Austria COVID-19 update. https://ourworld in
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M., Almazrouee A.I., Alenizi M.R &Alhajeri (2020). Forecasting the spread
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Appl.sc,10, 3402, pp 1-17
