In this paper, the ANN technique was applied to
analyze daily COVID-19 case volumes in Armenia. This study is based on daily
new cases of COVID-19 in Armenia for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021.
The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model suggest that the model is stable for forecasting COVID-19 cases in
Armenia. The forecasts of this research suggest that daily COVID-19 cases in
Armenia are likely to remain very high over the out-of-sample period. We
encourage the government of Armenia to continue enforcing and implementing
control and preventive measures in order to avoid a possibility of a second
wave of infections.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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