Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
The crisis of COVID-19 is growing and has devastating
implications for many countries around the world. In this research article, the
ANN technique was applied to analyze daily COVID-19 cases based on new cases of
COVID-19 in Barbados for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The
out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the employed
model suggest that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in
Barbados. The results of the study imply that that daily COVID-19 cases in
Barbados are likely to remain relatively low over the out-of-sample period. The
government should continue to implement strong control and preventive measures
in order to save lives despite the projected relatively low COVID-19 case
volumes.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 657-662