Expectedly, the global pandemic of COVID-19 has
resulted in a surge in COVID-19 forecasting and control models. In this
research article, the ANN methodology was applied to investigate the trends of
confirmed daily COVID-19 cases in Belize. This study is based on daily new
cases of COVID-19 in Belize for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The
out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals
and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the employed model
reveal that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in Belize. It is
projected that daily COVID-19 cases in Belize are likely to vanish over the
out-of-sample period. Nonetheless, the government of Belize ought to ensure the
continued compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as
vaccination, social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so
on.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Alamo, T., et al. (2020).
COVID-19: Open-Data Resources for Monitoring, Modeling and Forecasting the
Epidemic, Electronics, 9 (827): 1 –
30.
Ferretti, L., et al. (2020).
Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Suggests Epidemic Control With Digital
Contact Tracing, Science, pp: 1 – 11.
Hellewell, J., et al.
(2020). Feasibility Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks by Isolation of Cases and
Contacts, Lancet Global Health, 8:
488 – 496.
Hu, J., et al. (2020).
Transmission Dynamics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV), medRxiv, pp: 1 – 10.
Li, Q., et al. (2020). Early
Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-infected Pneumonia,
New England Journal of Medicine, 382:
1199 – 1207.
Liu, Y. C., et al. (2020). A
Locally Transmitted Case of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Taiwan, New England Journal of Medicine, 382:
1070 – 1072.
Sun, Y., et al. (2020).
Epidemiological and Clinical Predictors of COVID-19, Clinical Infectious Diseases, 71 (15): 786 – 792.
Tsiknakis, N., et al.
(2020). Interpretable Artificial Intelligence Framework for COVID-19 Screening
on Chest X-ray, Experimental and
Therapeutic Medicine, 20: 727 – 735.
Wang, D., et al. (2020).
Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel
Coronavirus-infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China, JAMA, 323: 1061 – 1069.
