In this study, the ANN approach was applied to
analyze COVID-19 new cases in North Macedonia. The employed data covers the
period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over
the period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in
North Macedonia are likely to decline significantly to about 13 cases per day
over the out-of-sample period. Amongst other suggested policy directions, there
is need for the government of North Macedonia to ensure adherence to safety
guidelines while continuing to create awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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