In this research article, the ANN approach was
applied to analyze daily new cases of COVID-19 in San Marino. This study is
based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in San Marino for the period 1 January
2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March
2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE
and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting
daily new cases of COVID-19 in the country. The results of the study indicate
that daily COVID-19 cases in San Marino are likely to significantly decline
over the out-of-sample period. We, however; still recommend that the government
of San Mario should ensure adherence to lock-down measures while creating
massive awareness about the COVID-19 pandemic as well as scaling up
vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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