When it comes to public health these days,
COVID-19 is of serious concern and considered as the supreme crisis of the
present era. A surge in the number patients testing positive for COVID-19 has
created a lot of stress and frustration on governing bodies worldwide and they
are finding it difficult to tackle the situation. In this research article, the
ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 case volumes in South Sudan. This
study is based on daily new cases of COVID-19 in South Sudan for the period 1
January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26
March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
(Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model reveal that the model is stable in
forecasting COVID-19 cases in South Sudan. It is projected that daily COVID-19
cases in South Sudan are likely to decline to zero cases per day around early
April 2021. The government of South Sudan should continue to ensure that there
is compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social
distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on. There is also
need to embrace the vaccination programme in the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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