Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
St Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG), just like other
countries, has not been able to escape from the deadly pandemic. Here, the ANN
approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 case volumes for all age groups in
SVG. This study is based on monthly new cases of COVID-19 in St Vincent and the
Grenadines for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021. The out-of-sample
forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of this model indicate that
the model is quite stable. The results of the study indicate that daily
COVID-19 cases will hover around an equilibrium level of about 4 cases per day.
It is important for the government to note that the projected pattern in
COVID-19 cases is a product of the current prevention and control measures
being consistently taken. We therefore encourage the government to continue
making sure that these measures are taken seriously, especially by the general
public. More, importantly, there is need for vaccine uptake in the country in
order to adequately save life.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 511-515