Forecasting Covid-19 New Cases in Venezuela

Abstract

In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 new cases in Venezuela. The employed data covers the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 26 March – 31 July 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is quite stable. We find that the pandemic is far from ending in Venezuela. We advise the relevant authorities in the country to continue strictly enforcing WHO recommended control and prevention measures, especially the vaccinations.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
  3. Independent Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 6, June 2021 pp. 669-674

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.506117

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