Yemen, just like any other affected country in
the globe, was not able to escape the deadly COVID-19 pandemic. The disease has
caused untold suffering in the country, especially in terms of loss of life and
economic damage. In this piece of work, the ANN technique was applied to
analyze confirmed COVID-19 cases in Yemen. This study is based on daily new
cases of COVID-19 in the country for the period 1 January 2020 – 25 March 2021.
The out-of-sample forecast covers the period 26 March 2021 – 31 July 2021. The
residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied
model tell us that the model is stable and indeed suitable for forecasting
purposes. It is projected that daily COVID-19 cases in Yemen are likely to
remain high over the out-of-sample period. The study suggests the continued
compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social
distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on, as well as
country-wide vaccinations.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Mr. Thabani NYONI3 Mr. Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
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