Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Togo

Abstract

In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Togo. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Togo. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Togo are generally likely to remain around 4.5 births per woman over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the government of Togo should focus on improving access to sexual and reproductive health (SRH), HIV testing and ART (antiretroviral therapy) services among adolescents and young adults by addressing challenges they face when seeking these health services as well as channeling more resources towards women empowerment program activities.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
  3. SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 441-444

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2021.508099

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