Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in Costa Rica
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Costa Rica. The
employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period
ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
stable in forecasting TFR in Costa Rica. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in the country are
likely to be around 2 births per woman towards the end of out-of-sample period. Therefore, we encourage the authorities in Costa Rica to continue
improving the quality of family planning services to minimize adverse maternal
and child health outcomes.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 195-198
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