Forecasting Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the Kingdom of Eswatini
Abstract
In this research paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in the
Kingdom of Eswatini. The employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and
the out-of-sample period ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and
forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate
that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in Eswatini Kingdom. The results of
the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Eswatini are likely to decline over the out-of-sample
period. Therefore, the authorities in the Kingdom of
Eswatini are encouraged to continuously focus on addressing challenges faced by adolescents and
young adults in accessing family planning services as well as women
empowerment.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 111-114
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