Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) In Venezuela
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Venezuela. The employed
annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over
the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error,
MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in
forecasting TFR in Venezuela. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Venezuela are
likely to generally increase in the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the
authorities in Venezuela should
focus on addressing adolescent and young adult challenges, create more demand
for family planning services and channel more funds towards women
empowerment program activities.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 482-485
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