Projection of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Abstract
In this research
article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in the DR Congo. The
employed annual data covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period
ranges over the period 2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is
stable in forecasting TFR in the DR Congo. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in DRC are likely
to slightly rise over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the
authorities in DRC are encouraged to (1) focus on addressing adolescent and young adult
challenges in accessing family planning services and create more demand for
sexual and reproductive (SRH) services through mass media and other local
platforms, and (2) engage on a women empowerment drive to increase their labor
participation and contribution to economic development.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 115-118
Ministère du Plan
et Suivi de la Mise en oeuvre de la Révolution de la Modernité (MPSMRM/Congo);
Ministère de la Santé Publique (MSP/Congo. ICF International. Enquête
Démographique et de Santé en République Démocratique du Congo 2013–2014.
Rockville: 2014.
United Nations
Development Programme (2016). Human Development Report 2016: Human Development
for everyone. http://hdr.undp.org/ en
