In this paper, the
ANN approach was applied to analyze TFR in Algeria. The employed annual data
covers the period 1960-2018 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period
2019-2030. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE)
of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting TFR in
Algeria. The results of the study indicate that annual total fertility rates in Algeria are likely to decline slightly
over the out-of-sample period. Therefore, the Algerian government is encouraged to address sexual and reproductive health (SRH)
challenges being faced by adolescent girls and women to improve access to
family planning services in order to further reduce unintended pregnancies and
other adverse SRH outcomes.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO3 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Health Economist, Zimbabwe
SAGIT Innovation Center, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 5, Issue 8, August 2021 pp. 457-460
Black RE., Levin C., Walker N., Chou D., Liu L.,
Temmerman M., DCP3 RMNCH Authors Group (2016). Reproductive, maternal, newborn,
and child health: key messages from disease control priorities 3rd edition.
Lancet. 2016; 3(388): 2811–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736 (16)00738-8.
PubMed PMID: 27072119
November L., & Sandall J (2018). ‘Just because
she’s young, it doesn’t mean she has to die’: exploring the contributing
factors to high maternal mortality in adolescents in eastern Freetown; a
qualitative study. Reprod Health, 15(1):31
Nove A., Matthews Z., Neal S., Camacho AV (2014).
Maternal mortality in adolescents compared with women of other ages: evidence
from 144 countries. Lancet Glob Health, 2(3):e155–64
Chandra-Mouli V., Svanemyr J., Amin A., Fogstad H.,
Say L., Girard F., & Temmerman M (2015). Twenty years after international
conference on population and development: where are we with adolescent sexual
and reproductive health and rights? J Adolesc Health, 56:1–6.
Shahabuddin A., Nöstlinger C., Delvaux T., Sarker M.,
Bardají A., De Brouwere V., & Broerse JE (2016). What influences adolescent
girls’ decision-making regarding contraceptive methods use and childbearing? A
qualitative exploratory study in Rangpur District, Bangladesh. PLoS One,
11(6):e0157664
