Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research article employs annual time series data of
adolescent fertility rate for Indonesia from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study
utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of
smoothing constants α and β are0.9 and0.9 respectively based on minimum MSE.
The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility rate will
continue to decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage policy makers in Indonesia to continuously promote girl child
education, protect the rights of women and girls, and fund youth empowerment
projects to improve their labor participation.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 316-321