Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study employs annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for the Dominican Republic from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study
utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of
smoothing constants α and β are0.9 and0.2 respectively based on minimum MSE.
The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will
continue to decline but remain high throughout the out of sample period. In
order to substantially reduce adolescent fertility by 2030, the government must
set up adolescent friendly clinics especially in marginalized areas, scale up
awareness campaigns, strictly enforce laws that protect women’s rights and
promote girl child education.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 212-216