Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on adolescent
fertility rate for Eswatini from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The forecast evaluation
criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable
in forecasting adolescent fertility rate. The neural network model projections
revealed adolescent fertility will hover around 73 births per 1000 women aged
15-19 throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the Kingdom
of Eswatini to focus on improving the accessibility and affordability of sexual
and reproductive health services among adolescents, strictly enforce laws that
protect sexual and reproductive health rights of adolescent girls and women,
and fund empowerment programs for youths.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 248-251