International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Estimating the Future Burden of Adolescent Births for Comoros Using a Machine Learning Algorithm

Abstract

This study employs annual time series data on adolescent fertility rate for Comoros from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The forecast evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that adolescent fertility will hover around 60 births per 1000 women aged 15-19 throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage Comoros authorities to scale up educational campaigns and improve access to quality and affordable sexual and reproductive health services among adolescents. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 189-192

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.612035

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