Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research article uses annual time series data of
adolescent fertility rate for Guinea from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends
of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are0.9 and0.6 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results
of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to decline
but still remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage authorities in Guinea to scale educational campaigns among the
communities, continuously promote girl child education, increase funding
towards youth empowerment programs and set up adolescent friendly facilities
that are well resourced to address adolescent health issues.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 291-295