Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Albania from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes Holt’s
linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α
and β are0.9 and0.5 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study
indicate that annual adolescent fertility will hover around 19 births per 1000
women aged 15-19 throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage
authorities in Albania to maintain adequate funding of SRH services in order to
control adolescent pregnancies and associated adverse outcomes.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 12, December 2022 pp. 74-78