Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Antigua and Barbuda from 1960 to 2020 to predict
future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Forecast evaluation
criteria of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting
U5MR for Antigua and Barbuda. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model projections suggest
that U5MR will hover around 7.0 deaths per 1000 live births over the out of
sample period. Therefore, the government should draft child health policies
that will keep under five mortality under control.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 90-93