Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate for Sao Tome and Principe from 1965 to 2020 to predict future
trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in
forecasting under five mortality rate. ANN model projections suggested that
annual U5MR will hover around 17 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out
of sample period. Therefore, the government of Sao Tome and Principe should
continue providing financial support to the maternal and child health program
in order to keep under five mortality under control.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 446-449