Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate for Nepal from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of UMR over
the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate
that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under five
mortality rate. ANN model predictions revealed that U5MR will continue to
decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the
government of Nepal to identify and address all the factors that significantly
contribute to under five mortality in the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 390-393