Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study
uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Malawi
from 1961 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to
2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate
that the applied model is stable in forecasting U5MR. ANN (12, 12, 1) model
projections revealed that annual U5MR will decline from around 40 to 35.6
deaths per 1000 live births over the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage the Malawian government to address all the major challenges that
hinder the success of the maternal and child health (MNCH) program particularly
in the rural areas.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 344-347