Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Zambia from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under
five mortality rate. ANN model forecast results indicated thatU5MR will remain
high over the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the Zambian
government to allocate more resources to the maternal and child health (MNCH)
program and address all the factors that significantly contribute to under five
mortality across the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 559-562