Tracking the Future Progress towards Achieving Substantial Reduction of Under Five Mortality in Burkina Faso By 2030
Abstract
This study uses annual time series data on under
five mortality rate for Burkina Faso from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends
of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and model evaluation statistics
indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting U5MR.
The neural network model projections revealed that U5MR will remain high over
the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage health authorities to focus
on capacitating healthcare facilities at all levels of healthcare and address
various challenges that affect under five children in the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe
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