Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Namibia from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.4 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to
decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage
authorities in Namibia to scale educational campaigns among communities,
continuously promote girl child education and protect sexual and reproductive
rights of women and girls.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 247-251