Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Qatar from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.3 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will remain low
throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities in
Qatar to continuously enforce laws that safeguard sexual and reproductive
health rights of women and girls, and address local factors that significant
contribute to teenage pregnancy.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 315-319