Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study employs annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Mali from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.8 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility is expected to
decline but remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we
encourage authorities in Mali to strictly enforce laws that protect sexual and
reproductive health rights of women and children, promote girl child education
and improve on the accessibility and affordability of adolescent health
services especially in the remote areas of the country and scale up campaigns
among communities.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 205-209