Addressing Adverse Neonatal Health Outcomes in Jordan Using Scientific Evidence Generated by the ARIMA Model
Abstract
This study uses annual time series data on
neonatal mortality rate (NMR) for Jordan from 1960 to 2019 to predict future
trends of NMR over the period 2020 to 2030. Unit root tests have shown that the
series under consideration is an I (I) variable. The optimal model based on AIC
is the ARIMA (2,1,2) model. The findings of study indicate that neonatal
mortality will slightly decrease from around 9 in 2020 to 7 deaths per 1000
live births by the end of 2030.Therefore, policy makers in Jordan should craft
country specific neonatal policies to keep neonatal deaths under control by
ensuring availability of trained medical staff &medical supplies, and
strengthening the referral system.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 8, August 2023 pp. 314-320
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